Box office thread

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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Sun Dec 09, 2018 7:42 pm

Fantastic beast 2 is $40-50 million behind FB 1 in the USA at this point in its run.
About $150 million of the foreign box office total, not sure if it running out of steam there like it has here

Creed 2 looks like it might pass the us total not sure about foreign total yet


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Re: Box office thread

Postby Kristatos » Sat Dec 15, 2018 12:49 pm

Bohemian Rhapsody crosses $600 million worldwide to become biggest grossing rock biopic of all time (unadjusted)*: https://deadline.com/2018/12/bohemian-r ... 202519477/

*= Edit: adjusted too. The only film above it in Box Office Mojo's adjusted Music Biopic chart is Coal Miner's Daughter, about country (not rock) star Loretta Lynn.
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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Sat Dec 15, 2018 2:36 pm

Kristatos wrote:Bohemian Rhapsody crosses $600 million worldwide to become biggest grossing rock biopic of all time (unadjusted)*: https://deadline.com/2018/12/bohemian-r ... 202519477/

*= Edit: adjusted too. The only film above it in Box Office Mojo's adjusted Music Biopic chart is Coal Miner's Daughter, about country (not rock) star Loretta Lynn.

Wow! Truly impressive


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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Sun Dec 16, 2018 3:23 am

Found a theater with once upon a Deadpool, it’s a pg13 version of Deadpool 2. No blood and edited/censored like TV movies used to do when blockbusters were aired in prime time.

Some were saying this pg13 version was a nod to Disney from fox marvel to show they can play ball. I’ve heard other ideas all boiling down to fox marvel trying to prove something.
Only thing they proved is pg13 Deadpool does not work. It’s a novelty when it’s a one off and they kidnap Fred savage to reenact princes bride, it’s funny and kind of funny they clean up the blood and language but Deadpool works because it flys in the face of conventional marvel and DC super heroes, it they try to make it fit Disney’s marvel universe it’ll kill it.


Only other thing of note is mortal engines is going to be doa, not because it’s good or bad it’s just got maybe one or two screens in every theater, maybe 4 to six show times a day. It’s not going to take #1 or be competitive. Spider verse is everywhere in big numbers.
Once upon a Deadpool is a charity screening on limited screen and part of each ticket going to cancer research it has more showing in the theater we found to watch it in than mortal engines.

I’ll post the real numbers and we’ll see if what I notice here has any merit in the rest of the world.





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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Sun Dec 16, 2018 6:24 pm

1 N Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse Sony $35,400,000 - 3,813 - $9,284 $35,400,000 $90 1

2 N The Mule WB $17,210,000 - 2,588 - $6,650 $17,210,000 $50 1

3 2 Dr. Seuss' The Grinch (2018) Uni. $11,580,000 -23.0% 3,759 -82 $3,081 $239,288,710 $75 6

4 1 Ralph Breaks the Internet BV $9,589,000 -41.0% 3,575 -220 $2,682 $154,464,878 $175 4

5 N Mortal Engines Uni. $7,501,000 - 3,103 - $2,417 $7,501,000 $100 1

6 3 Creed II MGM $5,398,830 -45.9% 3,107 -645 $1,738 $104,882,976 $50 4

7 5 Bohemian Rhapsody Fox $4,125,000 -32.8% 2,213 -740 $1,864 $180,423,200 $52

8 6 Instant Family Par. $3,720,000 -35.4% 2,860 -566 $1,301 $60,218,054 $48 5

9 4 Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald WB $3,650,000 -47.5% 2,606 -845 $1,401 $151,653,410 $200 5

10 7 Green Book Uni. $2,780,000 -28.8% 1,215 +34 $2,288 $24,660,366 $23 5

11 N Once Upon a Deadpool Fox $2,600,000 - 1,566 - $1,660 $3,883,920 - 1


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Re: Box office thread

Postby Kristatos » Fri Dec 21, 2018 10:24 am

Mary Poppins Returns made $4 million from Wednesday previews. I don't know if that's good or bad.

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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Fri Dec 21, 2018 8:13 pm

Kind of weak, aquaman has 13, bubble bee 2


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Re: Box office thread

Postby bjmdds » Sat Dec 22, 2018 6:37 pm

Disney's Mary Poppins Returns brought in an estimated $6.7 million on Friday, it's third day in release with expectations the film will deliver $30+ million over its first five days in release. It looks like the sequel in 2018 will have more POP-OUTS than POPP-INS :!:-------------Fantastic Beasts, the sequel, will pass the $600 million worldwide mark this weekend BUT that is $200 million behind the origin film, which is not good. They need more Potteresque storylines for the 3rd film, if it is even done now.
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Re: Box office thread

Postby Kristatos » Sat Dec 22, 2018 8:01 pm

Aquaman seems to be doing much better than I expected.

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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Sat Dec 22, 2018 11:20 pm

I think it was forecast for $80 million high side , $60 million low. I think some fan boys wanted $100 million plus records

IMHO it’ll hit $700-800 million rang easily beating justice league. I’ve heard it’s good but I’m still not sure who actually gives a d**n about aquaman


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Re: Box office thread

Postby Kristatos » Sun Dec 23, 2018 8:52 am

Omega wrote:I think it was forecast for $80 million high side , $60 million low. I think some fan boys wanted $100 million plus records

IMHO it’ll hit $700-800 million rang easily beating justice league. I’ve heard it’s good but I’m still not sure who actually gives a d**n about aquaman


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That's why the strong opening surprised me. I wasn't expecting it to do better than Mary Poppins Returns, let alone by such a wide margin. If nothing else, I thought that superhero fatigue would be starting to set in by now.

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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Sun Dec 23, 2018 4:42 pm

Really? I thought marry poppins was big competition but not a giant, mostly because I don’t know anyone waiting on a sequel. Or even knew there were more books in that series


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Re: Box office thread

Postby Kristatos » Sun Dec 23, 2018 5:06 pm

Omega wrote:Really? I thought marry poppins was big competition but not a giant, mostly because I don’t know anyone waiting on a sequel. Or even knew there were more books in that series


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I was just thinking "Disney+Christmas=$$$"

Edit: plus DC haven't even been able to make a success of films starring their biggest hitters, Batman and Superman, let alone a second-tier character like Aquaman. Wonder Woman was the exception, but that had the USP of being the first female-led superhero movie.
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Re: Box office thread

Postby Kristatos » Sun Dec 23, 2018 5:30 pm

Weekend Box Office Estimates
1. Aquaman - $67.4 million
2. Mary Poppins Returns - $22.2 million
3. Bumblebee - $21 million
Get the full chart here: https://imdb.to/2PYKnqK

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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Sun Dec 23, 2018 7:42 pm

Bumblebee was good, Spider-Man was great. Haven’t see mortal engines or aqua yet.

That kind of weak sauce for aquaman, still think it’ll be close to $700 million possibly squeak past $800.l by the times it’s done probably another bo loser for WB.

Disney had a few misfires with their family friendly brands nobody seems to talk about. Christoper robins and MP2. To be fair poppins 2 might not have the buildup other Disney brand movies get. Dumbo and lion king are getting a lot of buzz like I said nobody we knew was hyped for another poppins. Generational maybe.


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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Tue Dec 25, 2018 2:35 pm

1 N Aquaman WB $67,400,000 - 4,125 - $16,339 $72,700,000 - 1

2 N Mary Poppins Returns BV $23,523,121 - 4,090 - $5,751 $32,337,792 - 1

3 N Bumblebee Par. $21,610,000 - 3,550 - $6,087 $21,610,000 $135 1

4 1 Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse Sony $16,635,000 -53.0% 3,813 - $4,363 $64,735,063 $90 2

5 2 The Mule WB $9,727,000 -44.4% 2,656 +68 $3,662 $35,431,465 $50 2

6 3 Dr. Seuss' The Grinch (2018) Uni. $8,548,370 -27.3% 2,780 -900 $3,075 $253,588,345 $75 7

7 N Second Act STX $6,480,000 - 2,607 - $2,486 $6,480,000 $16 1

8 4 Ralph Breaks the Internet BV $4,702,425 -49.3% 2,495 -1,080 $1,885 $162,197,355 $175 5

9 N Welcome to Marwen Uni. $2,366,560 - 1,911 - $1,238 $2,366,560 $39 1

10 17 Mary Queen of Scots Focus $2,277,820 +225.5% 795 +729 $2,865 $3,581,575 - 3




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Re: Box office thread

Postby bjmdds » Wed Dec 26, 2018 12:28 am

Fantastic Beasts II--Worldwide: $612,894,713 ---now what? @jk_rowling-- I am SO loving the fantastic beasts films. What can we expect from the next one? Can describe it in 3 words? 'Answers are given.'
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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Wed Dec 26, 2018 3:32 am

That’s all? I’m surprised I thought it’d be closer to FB1 by now ($814 million)
It kind of dropped dead in the US

Answers are given? How bout a answer to who let jk submit a unfinished script for fb2?


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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Sat Dec 29, 2018 5:45 pm

Predictions

Aquaman - $50.0 M
Mary Poppins Returns - $28.5 M
Bumblebee - $20.0 M
Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse - $19.1 M
The Mule - $9.0 M
Holmes and Watson - $8.0 M
Second Act - $7.5 M
Vice - $7.0 M
Dr. Seuss' The Grinch - $6.0 M
Ralph Breaks the Internet - $5.3 M


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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Sun Dec 30, 2018 8:35 pm

Estimated

TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week #
1 1 Aquaman WB $51,550,000 -23.5% 4,125 - $12,497 $188,785,000 - 2

2 2 Mary Poppins Returns BV $28,019,000 +19.1% 4,090 - $6,851 $98,929,758 - 2

3 3 Bumblebee Par. $20,500,000 -5.3% 3,550 - $5,775 $66,778,020 $135 2

4 4 Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse Sony $18,315,000 +11.2% 3,813 - $4,803 $103,643,730 $90 3

5 5 The Mule WB $11,780,000 +24.0% 2,787 +131 $4,227 $60,738,465 $50 3

6 N Vice Annapurna $7,791,044 - 2,442 - $3,190 $17,697,159 - 1

7 N Holmes and Watson Sony $7,300,000 - 2,776 - $2,630 $19,706,408 $42 1

8 7 Second Act STX $7,210,000 +11.3% 2,607 - $2,766 $21,760,000 $16 2

9 8 Ralph Breaks the Internet BV $6,532,000 +38.9% 2,343 -152 $2,788 $175,713,583 $175 6

10 6 Dr. Seuss' The Grinch (2018) Uni. $4,200,000 -50.3% 2,555 -225 $1,644 $265,538,485 $75 8

11 10 Mary Queen of Scots Focus $2,655,000 +16.6% 841 +46 $3,157 $9,005,320 - 4
12 11 The Favourite FoxS $2,400,000 +15.1% 809 +19 $2,967 $15,221,022 - 6
13 12 Bohemian Rhapsody Fox $2,250,000 +14.7% 868 -300 $2,592 $189,106,515 $52 9
14 9 Welcome to Marwen Uni. $2,230,000 -5.3% 1,911 - $1,167 $7,765,090 $39 2



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