Box office thread

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Box office thread

Post by Omega »

The estimates are out. Some changes I’ll comment on in a moment



1 N Maze Runner: The Death Cure Fox $23,500,000 - 3,787 - $6,205 $23,500,000 $62 1
2 1 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony $16,400,000 -15.9% 3,553 -151 $4,616 $338,057,203 $90 6
3 23 Hostiles ENTMP $10,205,000 +1,658.7% 2,816 +2,697 $3,624 $12,052,795 - 6
4 5 The Greatest Showman Fox $9,500,000 -10.8% 2,663 -160 $3,567 $126,475,232 $84 6
5 4 The Post Fox $8,850,000 -24.5% 2,640 -211 $3,352 $58,535,923 $50 6
6 2 12 Strong WB $8,635,000 -45.4% 3,018 +16 $2,861 $29,759,610 - 2
7 3 Den of Thieves STX $8,360,000 -45.0% 2,432 - $3,438 $28,502,445 - 2
8 16 The Shape of Water FoxS $5,700,000 +160.7% 1,854 +1,001 $3,074 $37,678,745 - 9
9 6 Paddington 2 WB $5,570,000 -30.5% 2,792 -910 $1,995 $32,020,416 - 3
10 N Padmaavat VPD $4,272,998 - 324 - $13,188 $4,780,239 - 1
11 8 Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV $4,184,000 -36.2% 1,745 -711 $2,398 $610,725,821 - 7


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Post by Omega »

Hostiles beats the projection for 3rd. The post dropped more than expected and greatest showman did better than expected, all the rest are about where they were projected except for Padmaavat (???) and last Jedi which drops out of the top ten


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Re: Box office thread

Post by Omega »

bjmdds wrote:The Last Jedi is a bad “part of the legacy it seems in terms of storyline from what I have seen. I will skip it until it's on regular tv now.
You might disagree with my thoughts on TLJ, at this point the movie is stalled and dropping fast.


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Re: Box office thread

Post by Kristatos »

Omega wrote:
bjmdds wrote:The Last Jedi is a bad “part of the legacy it seems in terms of storyline from what I have seen. I will skip it until it's on regular tv now.
You might disagree with my thoughts on TLJ, at this point the movie is stalled and dropping fast.


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It's not going to reach $1.6 billion (the studio's projected total), that's for sure.
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Post by Omega »

No. Not with China pulling the movie.
I do think the way the foreign BO looks, the Asian market didn’t like either the story or western humor/taste it crafted for.
Japan has always been star wars crazy they opened bigger than TFA and then attendance drop off.

Greatest showman has more staying power than I thought. They still need $300 million to breakeven and it close.

Hostiles did better too I think it was way down on their earlier list, also has Rosamund Pike. To me it looks like a made for tv army in the West movie.

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Post by Omega »

Ah, hostiles has Wes Studi and Adam Beach, there big here because of the Navajo mysteries they made. Beach was Jim Chee, Wes Studi was joe leaphorn,


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Re: Box office thread

Post by Omega »

I think the actuals were close to the estimated so I’m not goin to try to add them.
Only the first two Spider-Man movies are ahead of Jumanji. The new Spider-Man homecoming did $880 million Worldwide, $334 million domestic , cost $175 so $525 breakeven.
Garfield’s Spider-Man movies were $758 world wide $690 breakeven, movie 2 $708 worldwide $255 million cost so $765 breakeven, but desdline has a great breakdown of everything , Sony made $70 million only after video and tv sales. http://deadline.com/2015/03/amazing-spi ... 201389608/

They also heat the breakdown of a few other movies I’m gong to have to post sometime.

My point was going to be the much praised nu-Spider-Man was not that much better than the Garfield Spider-Man, closer than $100 million,but the nu-Spider-Man is a better performer just because they cut the production costs





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Re: Box office thread

Post by Omega »

issuu.com/pmcderek/docs/mm_spiderman2_ce6c7867c5f6f6

Here the link if it works my phone shows they have three other movies data too


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Re: Box office thread

Post by Omega »

Projections for the weekend

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (3,352 theaters) - $12.1 M
Maze Runner: The Death Cure (3,793 theaters) - $11.0 M
Winchester (2,480 theaters) - $8.4 M
The Greatest Showman (2,588 theaters) - $7.5 M
The Post (2,462 theaters) - $6.0 M
The Shape of Water (2,341 theaters) - $5.3 M
12 Strong (2,918 theaters) - $5.2 M
Hostiles (2,666 theaters) - $5.1 M
Den of Thieves (2,112 theaters) - $4.1 M
Paddington 2 (2,388 theaters) - $3.5 M


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Re: Box office thread

Post by Omega »

This weekend estimates : I included the number to last Ledi which was pulled from the local theaters here, I was surprised by that. I think the price ruins are more or less correct, i will compare them later

1 2 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony $11,000,000 -31.9% 3,352 -201 $3,282 $352,642,752 $90 7

2 1 Maze Runner: The Death Cure Fox $10,200,000 -57.8% 3,793 +6 $2,689 $39,760,199 $62 2

3 N Winchester LGF $9,250,000 - 2,480 - $3,730 $9,250,000 - 1

4 4 The Greatest Showman Fox $7,800,000 -18.3% 2,588 -75 $3,014 $137,475,172 $84 7
5 3 Hostiles ENTMP $5,523,000 -45.4% 2,934 +118 $1,882 $21,237,413 - 7

6 5 The Post Fox $5,200,000 -42.9% 2,462 -178 $2,112 $67,184,510 $50 7

7 6 12 Strong WB $4,710,000 -45.8% 2,918 -100 $1,614 $37,303,553 - 3

8 7 Den of Thieves STX $4,670,000 -45.9% 2,112 -320 $2,211 $36,270,932 - 3

9 8 The Shape of Water FoxS $4,300,000 -27.4% 2,341 +487 $1,837 $44,580,050 - 10

10 9 Paddington 2 WB $3,110,000 -45.1% 2,388 -404 $1,302 $36,313,679 - 4

11 12 Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri FoxS $3,050,000 -20.6% 1,726 +269 $1,767 $41,814,051 - 13

12 13 Forever My Girl RAtt. $2,583,045 -27.6% 1,427 +3 $1,810 $12,844,699 $3.5 3

13 16 I, Tonya Neon $2,556,250 -15.6% 1,450 +490 $1,763 $22,640,135 - 9

14 10 Padmaavat VPD $2,551,000 -43.2% 354 +28 $7,206 $9,012,569 - 2

15 18 Darkest Hour Focus $2,420,000 -16.2% 1,486 +153 $1,629 $48,845,157 - 11

16 11 Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV $2,235,000 -47.5% 1,467 -278 $1,524 $614,351,780 -


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Re: Box office thread

Post by Omega »

Actuals

Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week #

1 2 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony $10,930,222 -32.3% 3,352 -201 $3,261 $352,572,974 $90 7

2 1 Maze Runner: The Death Cure Fox $10,474,895 -56.7% 3,793 +6 $2,762 $40,035,094 $62 2

3 N Winchester LGF $9,307,626 - 2,480 - $3,753 $9,307,626 - 1

4 4 The Greatest Showman Fox $7,695,644 -19.4% 2,588 -75 $2,974 $137,370,816 $84 7

5 5 The Post Fox $5,218,122 -42.7% 2,462 -178 $2,119 $67,202,632 $50 7

6 3 Hostiles ENTMP $5,108,228 -49.5% 2,934 +118 $1,741 $20,822,641 - 7

7 6 12 Strong WB $4,706,481 -45.8% 2,918 -100 $1,613 $37,300,034 - 3

8 7 Den of Thieves STX $4,551,163 -47.3% 2,112 -320 $2,155 $36,152,095 - 3

9 8 The Shape of Water FoxS $4,448,520 -24.9% 2,341 +487 $1,900 $44,728,570 - 10

10 9 Paddington 2 WB $3,277,453 -42.2% 2,388 -404 $1,372 $36,481,132 - 4

11 12 Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri FoxS $3,013,022 -21.5% 1,726 +269 $1,746 $41,777,073 - 13

12 16 I, Tonya Neon $2,469,724 -18.5% 1,450 +490 $1,703 $22,553,609 - 9

13 10 Padmaavat VPD $2,438,930 -45.7% 354 +28 $6,890 $8,900,499 - 2

14 18 Darkest Hour Focus $2,362,975 -18.1% 1,486 +153 $1,590 $48,786,132 - 11

15 11 Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV $2,338,242 -45.0% 1,467 -278 $1,594 $614,455,022 - 8



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Re: Box office thread

Post by Kristatos »

Winchester at #3, despite savage reviews. I wonder what its second weekend drop will be.
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Post by Omega »

Kristatos wrote:Winchester at #3, despite savage reviews. I wonder what its second weekend drop will be.
was it any good?
I’ve seen the real Winchester house, it’s completely crazy.

Thing about the late 19th century & early 20th is spiritualism was a big deal, a lot of people got caught up in it, even Arthur Conan Doyle the father of modern detective genre and inspiration for modernizing the police he was a believer, Houdini who you’d think would buy into that kind of stuff fought to prove it bogus.

But for the Winchester lady it wouldn’t be at all unusual even then to totally be convinced the sins of the family would be visited on her. And this in a deeply Christian anti pagan, wash the savage Indians mouths out with soap for praying in their own language, America. Some how spiritualism thrived around the world in that era.


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Re: Box office thread

Post by Omega »

Kristatos wrote:Winchester at #3, despite savage reviews. I wonder what its second weekend drop will be.
was it any good?
I’ve seen the real Winchester house, it’s completely crazy.

Thing about the late 19th century & early 20th is spiritualism was a big deal, a lot of people got caught up in it, even Arthur Conan Doyle the father of modern detective genre and inspiration for modernizing the police he was a believer, Houdini who you’d think would buy into that kind of stuff fought to prove it bogus.

But for the Winchester lady it wouldn’t be at all unusual even then to totally be convinced the sins of the family would be visited on her. And this in a deeply Christian anti pagan, wash the savage Indians mouths out with soap for praying in their own language, America. Some how spiritualism thrived around the world in that era.


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Re: Box office thread

Post by Kristatos »

Don't know if it's any good, I haven't seen it, but the reviews say no. That's why I was surprised to see it debut so high. I know some films are critic-proof, but there's no obvious reason why this should be one of them.
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Re: Box office thread

Post by Omega »

Kristatos wrote:Don't know if it's any good, I haven't seen it, but the reviews say no. That's why I was surprised to see it debut so high. I know some films are critic-proof, but there's no obvious reason why this should be one of them.
gotcha. Dunno why I thought you saw it.
I think horror movies have a built in market, the ads for Winchester it looked like a average horror film, but when I realized I’ve seen the crazy house I was kind of curious


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Post by Kristatos »

I might have been interested, if it wasn't for the lousy reviews. It was originally billed as a Hammer film, but Hammer had their name removed from the marketing, which isn't exactly encouraging. I was somewhat familiar with the story due to the Swamp Thing issue about it that Alan Moore wrote during his run on the series back in the '80s.
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Re: Box office thread

Post by Kristatos »

Box Office Mojo's forecast for the coming weekend. Let's see how it matchis up with the actuals come Monday evening:
  • Fifty Shades Freed (3,768 theaters) - $38.0 M
  • Peter Rabbit (3,725 theaters) - $23.0 M
  • The 15:17 to Paris (3,042 theaters) - $16.5 M
  • Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (3,136 theaters) - $8.5 M
  • The Greatest Showman (2,373 theaters) - $6.2 M
  • Maze Runner: The Death Cure (2,923 theaters) - $6.1 M
  • Winchester (2,480 theaters) - $4.9 M
  • The Post (1,865 theaters) - $3.3 M
  • The Shape of Water (1,780 theaters) - $3.3 M
  • Hostiles (2,214 theaters) - $2.7 M
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Re: Box office thread

Post by Omega »

Jumanji and greatest showman just will not quit. It will be interesting if the forecast match the estimates last few weeks they haven’t.


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Re: Box office thread

Post by Omega »

Weekend estimates

1 Fifty Shades Freed Uni. $38,806,000 - 3,768 - $10,299 $38,806,000

2 Peter Rabbit Sony $25,000,000 - 3,725 - $6,711 $25,000,000

3 The 15:17 to Paris WB $12,600,000 - 3,042 - $4,142 $12,600,000

4 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony $9,825,000 -10.1% 3,136 -216 $3,133 $365,656,871

5 The Greatest Showman Fox $6,400,000 -16.8% 2,373 -215 $2,697 $146,535,870

6 Maze Runner: The Death Cure Fox $6,000,000 -42.7% 2,923 -870 $2,053 $49,018,129

7 Winchester LGF $5,050,000 -45.7% 2,480 - $2,036 $17,177,358

8 The Post Fox $3,500,000 -32.9% 1,865 -597 $1,877 $72,836,520

9 The Shape of Water FoxS $3,000,000 -32.6% 1,780 -561 $1,685 $49,765,691

10 Den of Thieves STX $2,870,000 -36.9% 1,468 -644 $1,955 $40,951,323

Star Wars dripped to 17th place 830 theaters playing the movie


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