Box office thread

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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Sun Mar 04, 2018 6:05 pm

This weekends estimates

1 Black Panther BV $65,705,000 -41.2% 4,084 +64 $16,088 $501,105,037 - 3

2 Red Sparrow Fox $17,000,000 - 3,056 - $5,563 $17,000,000 $69 1

3 Death Wish (2018) MGM $13,025,000 - 2,847 - $4,575 $13,025,000 $30 1

4 Game Night WB $10,710,000 -37.0% 3,502 +14 $3,058 $33,537,766 $37 2

5 Peter Rabbit Sony $10,000,000 -21.6% 3,607 -100 $2,772 $84,060,376 $50 4

6 Annihilation Par. $5,650,000 -49.0% 2,112 +100 $2,675 $20,636,742 $40 2

7 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony $4,500,000 -20.4% 2,313 -206 $1,946 $393,201,353 $90 11

8 Fifty Shades Freed Uni. $3,310,000 -53.7% 2,614 -651 $1,266 $95,599,460 $55 4

9 The Greatest Showman Fox $2,675,000 -21.6% 1,407 -194 $1,901 $164,616,443 $84 11


10 Every Day (2018) Orion $1,560,029 -48.3% 1,669 +2 $935 $5,260,833


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Re: Box office thread

Postby Kristatos » Sun Mar 04, 2018 6:25 pm

Both Red Sparrow and Death Wish performing below expectations then, if the estimates are correct.
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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:00 am

I saw the foreigner listed as a comparable film, it actually did well financially. Death wish is might buy the digital code for I really don’t want to sit in a theater for two hours to watch a b grade action movie. Red sparrow does not look compelling far as story goes. It’s just Jlaw doing her usual role.


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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Tue Mar 06, 2018 3:46 pm

Actuals

1 1 Black Panther BV $66,306,935 -40.6% 4,084 +64 $16,236 $501,706,972 - 3


2 Red Sparrow Fox $16,853,422 - 3,056 - $5,515 $16,853,422 $69 1

3 Death Wish (2018) MGM $13,010,267 - 2,847 - $4,570 $13,010,267 $30 1

4 Game Night WB $10,412,496 -38.8% 3,502 +14 $2,973 $33,240,262 $37 2

5 Peter Rabbit Sony $10,005,177 -21.6% 3,607 -100 $2,774 $84,065,553 $50 4

6 Annihilation Par. $5,607,902 -49.3% 2,112 +100 $2,655 $20,594,644 $40 2

7 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony $4,438,090 -21.5% 2,313 -206 $1,919 $393,139,443 $90 11

8 Fifty Shades Freed Uni. $3,400,505 -52.4% 2,614 -651 $1,301 $95,689,965 $55 4

9 The Greatest Showman Fox $2,703,357 -20.8% 1,407 -194 $1,921 $164,644,800 $84 11

10 Every Day (2018) Orion $1,542,354 -48.9% 1,669 +2 $924 $5,243,158 $4.9 2



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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Tue Mar 06, 2018 3:58 pm

Jumanji is $930 million worldwide and is $10 million from unseating the Spider-Man franchise from its #1 spot for Sony. Of course this is unadjusted I’m sure the original Spider-Man trilogy would crush if it were adjusted.

Greatest showman hangs in the top ten and made $376 million worldwide,

Black panther keeps its seat as king. Bruce Willis and JLaw draw in a audience but not enough to make hits, death wish will probably make money costing only $30 million if it can make $90 it broke even. Red Sparrow cost $69 million, needs $207 million to start to make money. Although worldwide its @ $43 million total. I just don’t see red sparrow making money, but I didn’t think Jumanji would be $400 million from Last Jedi’s total BO.


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Re: Box office thread

Postby Kristatos » Thu Mar 08, 2018 8:06 pm

Black Panther less than $1 million away from beating Harry Potter and the Philosopher's/Sorcerer's Stone in the all-time inflation-adjusted chart (US and Canada only).
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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Thu Mar 08, 2018 9:21 pm

Kristatos wrote:Black Panther less than $1 million away from beating Harry Potter and the Philosopher's/Sorcerer's Stone in the all-time inflation-adjusted chart (US and Canada only).
d**n charity screenings ;)


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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Sat Mar 10, 2018 4:35 pm

Weekend estimates
I’m not so sure A wrinkle in time can best Black Panther

A Wrinkle in Time (3,980 theaters) - $42.0 M
Black Panther (3,942 theaters) - $38.0 M
Strangers: Prey at Night (2,464 theaters) - $9.5 M
Red Sparrow (3,064 theaters) - $8.3 M
Death Wish (2,882 theaters) - $6.9 M
Peter Rabbit (3,112 theaters) - $6.2 M
Game Night (3,061 theaters) - $5.8 M
The Hurricane Heist (2,402 theaters) - $3.8 M
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (2,157 theaters) - $3.4 M
Gringo (2,404 theaters) - $3.0 M



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Re: Box office thread

Postby Kristatos » Sat Mar 10, 2018 5:26 pm

The studio's own estimate for A Wrinkle In Time was $35 million, but Box Office Mojo predicted it would do better than that based on the opening weekends of other Disney-branded movies (as distinct from Disney subsidiaries such as Marvel and Lucasfilm) that opened in the same timeframe. Plus, this will be week #4 for Black Panther, and AWIT is based on a much-loved children's book. One which, I must confess, bored me as a kid, but lots of other kids seemed to love it.
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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Sun Mar 11, 2018 9:02 pm

Black Panther won the weekend easily.
Jumanji finially drop to the bottom of the top ten, which I should say is already on sale for early release digital, with disc release the 20th i think

1 1 Black Panther BV $41,136,000 -38.0% 3,942 -142 $10,435 $562,015,601 - 4

2 N A Wrinkle in Time BV $33,316,000 - 3,980 - $8,371 $33,316,000 - 1

3 N Strangers: Prey at Night Aviron $10,480,000 - 2,464 - $4,253 $10,480,000 - 1

4 2 Red Sparrow Fox $8,150,000 -51.6% 3,064 +8 $2,660 $31,118,743 $69 2

5 4 Game Night WB (NL) $7,905,000 -24.1% 3,061 -441 $2,582 $45,045,632 $37 3

6 5 Peter Rabbit Sony $6,800,000 -32.0% 3,112 -495 $2,185 $93,457,806 $50 5

7 3 Death Wish (2018) MGM $6,600,000 -49.3% 2,882 +35 $2,290 $23,875,301 $30 2

8 N The Hurricane Heist ENTMP $3,150,000 - 2,402 - $1,311 $3,150,000 $35 1

9 6 Annihilation Par. $3,150,000 -43.8% 1,709 -403 $1,843 $26,094,514 $40 3

10 7 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony $2,755,000 -37.9% 2,157 -156 $1,277 $397,263,020 $90 12


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Re: Box office thread

Postby Kristatos » Sun Mar 11, 2018 9:12 pm

But there were charity screenings of A Wrinkle in Time. How could it not have won?
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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Tue Mar 13, 2018 2:44 pm

Actuals
Curious to why BO Mojo over estimated AWIT.

1 1 Black Panther BV $40,817,579 -38.4% 3,942 -142 $10,355 $561,697,180 - 4

2 N A Wrinkle in Time BV $33,123,609 - 3,980 - $8,323 $33,123,609 - 1

3 N Strangers: Prey at Night Aviron $10,402,271 - 2,464 - $4,222 $10,402,271 - 1

4 2 Red Sparrow Fox $8,502,263 -49.6% 3,064 +8 $2,775 $31,471,006 $69 2

5 4 Game Night WB (NL) $7,863,391 -24.5% 3,061 -441 $2,569 $45,004,023 $37 3

6 5 Peter Rabbit Sony $6,775,718 -32.3% 3,112 -495 $2,177 $93,433,524 $50 5

7 3 Death Wish (2018) MGM $6,581,130 -49.4% 2,882 +35 $2,284 $23,856,431 $30 2

8 6 Annihilation Par. $3,302,319 -41.1% 1,709 -403 $1,932 $26,246,833 $40 3

9 N The Hurricane Heist ENTMP $3,024,399 - 2,402 - $1,259 $3,024,399 $35 1

10 7 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony


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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Tue Mar 13, 2018 3:02 pm

Kristatos wrote:But there were charity screenings of A Wrinkle in Time. How could it not have won?
bigger question is how could Oprah fail?
Disney over sold this movie pandering to Oprah’s fame and to her demographic. 70% of the audience was women, the majority were white by a big margin. Black panther had evenly split demographics.
Speaking of BP The Chinese gave $66 million to Black Panther but the comments being released are very strange racist comments. Although reading some of the translated comments it’s hard to tell if it is the race of the actors or that the theater was screwing with the picture making it literally too dark to see what is happening very well. I kind of suspect government sanctioned intervention allowing theaters to mess with picture quality as a way to influence the box office. Or maybe it’s just a screw up in the digital copy distributed.

I think BP preforming so well there despite being unknown character and staring black actors, proves the excuses for Last Jedi failing there are lies.


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Re: Box office thread

Postby Kristatos » Wed Mar 14, 2018 4:21 pm

Omega wrote:Actuals
Curious to why BO Mojo over estimated AWIT.


They based their projection on advance ticket sales, IMDb page views, and comparisons to other recent Disney movies.
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Box office thread

Postby Omega » Wed Mar 14, 2018 4:37 pm

Kristatos wrote:
Omega wrote:Actuals
Curious to why BO Mojo over estimated AWIT.


They based their projection on advance ticket sales, IMDb page views, and comparisons to other recent Disney movies.
if it’s on other Disney movies this really screw up projections. Advance ticket sales are one thing, social media and IMDb are another. Black panther did not show the support it got in social media tracking


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Re: Box office thread

Postby Kristatos » Wed Mar 14, 2018 4:51 pm

Omega wrote:
Kristatos wrote:
Omega wrote:Actuals
Curious to why BO Mojo over estimated AWIT.


They based their projection on advance ticket sales, IMDb page views, and comparisons to other recent Disney movies.
if it’s on other Disney movies this really screw up projections. Advance ticket sales are one thing, social media and IMDb are another. Black panther did not show the support it got in social media tracking


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They always use similar movies as comparison points; there's no point comparing it to the latest Fast & Furious film, for example.
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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Wed Mar 14, 2018 4:56 pm

Kristatos wrote:
Omega wrote:
Kristatos wrote:
Omega wrote:Actuals
Curious to why BO Mojo over estimated AWIT.


They based their projection on advance ticket sales, IMDb page views, and comparisons to other recent Disney movies.
if it’s on other Disney movies this really screw up projections. Advance ticket sales are one thing, social media and IMDb are another. Black panther did not show the support it got in social media tracking


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They always use similar movies as comparison points; there's no point comparing it to the latest Fast & Furious film, for example.
I just meant that Disney movies control the high water mark for bo across the genres


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Re: Box office thread

Postby Kristatos » Fri Mar 16, 2018 8:22 pm

Box Office Mojo is predicting Black Panther to take the top slot for a sixth fifth week running, the first film since Avatar to do so, though it faces stiff competition from the rebooted Tomb Raider. Oh, and they also report extensively on a faith-based movie, I Can Only Imagine, showing that they will report on such movies when their performance warrants it. Full story: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4379&p=.htm
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Re: Box office thread

Postby bjmdds » Sat Mar 17, 2018 3:15 am

5TH week.
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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Sat Mar 17, 2018 3:36 am

Projections
Black Panther (3,834 theaters) - $26.5 M
Tomb Raider (3,854 theaters) - $24.8 M
A Wrinkle in Time (3,980 theaters) - $16.9 M
Love, Simon (2,402 theaters) - $14.0 M
I Can Only Imagine (1,628 theaters) - $6.0 M
Game Night (2,735 theaters) - $5.3 M
Strangers: Prey at Night (2,464 theaters) - $5.2 M
Peter Rabbit (2,725 theaters) - $4.4 M
Red Sparrow (2,583 theaters) - $4.3 M
Death Wish (2,676 theaters) - $3.6 M


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