Box office thread

Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Sat Jul 14, 2018 7:42 pm

Predictions

Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation (4,267 theaters) - $45.0 M
Skyscraper (3,782 theaters) - $34.0 M
Ant-Man and the Wasp (4,206 theaters) - $32.1 M
Incredibles 2 (3,705 theaters) - $17.5 M
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (3,692 theaters) - $15.5 M
The First Purge (3,038 theaters) - $9.2 M
Sicario: Day of the Soldado (2,006 theaters) - $3.5 M
Ocean's 8 (1,618 theaters) - $3.1 M
Uncle Drew (1,702 theaters) - $2.9 M
Sorry to Bother You (805 theaters) - $2.9 M



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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Sat Jul 14, 2018 7:43 pm

I’ll be surprised if it plays out this way that’s a pretty big bo weekend overall


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Re: Box office thread

Postby Kristatos » Sat Jul 14, 2018 8:09 pm

What's Skyscraper?

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Box office thread

Postby Omega » Sat Jul 14, 2018 9:25 pm

Kristatos wrote:What's Skyscraper?

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it’s the rock’s newest movie. It’s kinda of a die hard looking movie with the twist the rock is a former FBI agent with a prosthetic leg.
Dunno why Hollywood is flooding the zone with the rock


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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Sun Jul 15, 2018 5:13 pm

Weekend estimates

1 N Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation Sony $44,100,000 - 4,267 - $10,335 $45,376,000 $80 1

2 1 Ant-Man and the Wasp BV $28,840,000 -62.0% 4,206 - $6,857 $132,825,225 - 2

3 N Skyscraper Uni. $25,485,000 - 3,782 - $6,738 $25,485,000 $125 1

4 3 Incredibles 2 BV $16,220,000 -42.9% 3,705 -408 $4,378 $535,818,492 - 5

5 2 Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom Uni. $15,515,000 -45.8% 3,695 -654 $4,199 $363,297,215 $170 4

6 4 The First Purge Uni. $9,130,000 -47.5% 3,038 +7 $3,005 $49,509,970 $13 2

7 16 Sorry to Bother You Annapurna $4,258,000 +485.5% 805 +789 $5,289 $5,322,952 - 2

8 5 Sicario: Day of the Soldado Sony $3,850,000 -49.5% 2,006 -1,049 $1,919 $43,200,345 $35 3

9 6 Uncle Drew LG/S $3,225,000 -51.2% 1,702 -1,040 $1,895 $36,692,040 - 3

10 7 Ocean's 8 WB $2,910,000 -42.6% 1,618 -986 $1,799 $132,255,936 $70 6




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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Mon Jul 16, 2018 11:55 pm

Actuals

TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week #
1 N Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation Sony $44,076,225 - 4,267 - $10,330 $45,352,609 $80 1

2 1 Ant-Man and the Wasp BV $29,097,859 -61.6% 4,206 - $6,918 $133,083,084 - 2

3 N Skyscraper Uni. $24,905,015 - 3,782 - $6,585 $24,905,015 $125 1

4 3 Incredibles 2 BV $16,262,898 -42.7% 3,705 -408 $4,389 $535,861,390 - 5

5 2 Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom Uni. $16,199,430 -43.4% 3,695 -654 $4,384 $363,981,645 $170 4

6 4 The First Purge Uni. $9,312,530 -46.4% 3,038 +7 $3,065 $49,690,500 $13 2

7 16 Sorry to Bother You Annapurna $4,208,881 +478.7% 805 +789 $5,228 $5,273,833 - 2

8 5 Sicario: Day of the Soldado Sony $3,881,050 -49.1% 2,006 -1,049 $1,935 $43,231,395 $35 3

9 6 Uncle Drew LG/S $3,186,625 -51.8% 1,702 -1,040 $1,872 $36,653,665 - 3

10 7 Ocean's 8 WB $2,907,356 -42.6% 1,618 -986 $1,797 $132,253,292 $70 6




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Re: Box office thread

Postby bjmdds » Tue Jul 17, 2018 3:16 am

Skyscraper will be a Rock dud.
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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Tue Jul 17, 2018 10:47 am

That movie needs $400 million to hit the Break even point. Unless over seas loves it will be a money loser.

No big real big bo hits last weekend but the top 6 all had $138 million might not help studios that much but theater owners might take it as a positive sign.


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Re: Box office thread

Postby Kristatos » Tue Jul 17, 2018 7:50 pm

Just saw a trailer for Skyscraper online. Basically Die Hard in all but name, by the look of it.

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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Sat Jul 21, 2018 4:42 am

Predictions

Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again! (3,317 theaters) - $36.0 M
The Equalizer 2 (3,388 theaters) - $26.0 M
Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation (4,267 theaters) - $25.6 M
Ant-Man and the Wasp (3,778 theaters) - $15.1 M
Skyscraper (3,822 theaters) - $11.2 M
Incredibles 2 (3,164 theaters) - $11.0 M
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (3,375 theaters) - $7.7 M
The First Purge (2,331 theaters) - $4.8 M
Unfriended: Dark Web (1,546 theaters) - $4.7 M
Sorry to Bother You (1,050 theaters)


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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Sun Jul 22, 2018 8:19 pm

Estimates

1 N The Equalizer 2 Sony $35,825,000 - 3,388 - $10,574 $35,825,000 $62 1

2 N Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again! Uni. $34,380,000 - 3,317 - $10,365 $34,380,000 $75 1

3 1 Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation Sony $23,150,000 -47.5% 4,267 - $5,425 $91,089,268 $80 2

4 2 Ant-Man and the Wasp BV $16,126,000 -44.6% 3,778 -428 $4,268 $164,624,292 - 3

5 4 Incredibles 2 BV $11,520,000 -29.2% 3,164 -541 $3,641 $557,335,440 - 6

6 5 Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom Uni. $11,005,000 -32.1% 3,381 -314 $3,255 $383,904,505 $170 5

7 3 Skyscraper Uni. $10,960,000 -56.0% 3,822 +40 $2,868 $46,749,120 $125
8 6 The First Purge Uni. $4,980,000 -46.5% 2,331 -707 $2,136 $60,191,365 $13 3

9 N Unfriended: Dark Web BH Tilt $3,495,000 - 1,546 - $2,261 $3,495,000 $1 1

10 7 Sorry to Bother You Annapurna $2,823,000 -32.9% 1,050 +245 $2,689 $10,252,204 - 3



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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Sun Jul 22, 2018 8:21 pm

We went to the equalizer 2, good movie a little slow but maybe in keeping with the tv series. Not a lot of people at the early showing, we were only one of two couples there wouldn’t be surprised if the actual numbers drop lower


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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Tue Jul 24, 2018 12:32 am

Actuals

1 1 - The Equalizer 2 Sony $35,825,000 $36,011,640 $+186,640 +0.5% 3,388 $35,825,000 $36,011,640 1

2 2 - Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again Uni. $34,380,000 $34,952,180 $+572,180 +1.7% 3,317 $34,380,000 $34,952,180 1

3 3 - Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation Sony $23,150,000 $23,765,709 $+615,709 +2.7% 4,267 $91,089,268 $91,704,977 2

4 4 - Ant-Man and the Wasp BV $16,126,000 $16,507,156 $+381,156 +2.4% 3,778 $164,624,292 $165,005,448 3

5 5 - Incredibles 2 BV $11,520,000 $11,895,063 $+375,063 +3.3% 3,164 $557,335,440 $557,710,503 6

6 7 +1 Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom Uni. $11,005,000 $11,263,420 $+258,420 +2.3% 3,381 $383,904,505 $384,164,925 5

7 6 -1 Skyscraper Uni. $10,960,000 $11,360,030 $+400,030 +3.6% 3,822 $46,749,120 $47,149,150 2

8 8 - The First Purge Uni. $4,980,000 $5,105,305 $+125,305 +2.5% 2,331 $60,191,365 $60,316,670 3

9 9 - Unfriended: Dark Web BH Tilt $3,495,000 $3,653,035 $+158,035 +4.5% 1,546 $3,495,000 $3,653,035 1

10 10 - Sorry to Bother You Annapurna $2,823,000 $2,863,420 $+40,420 +1.4% 1,050 $10,252,204 $10,292,624 3



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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Tue Jul 24, 2018 12:45 am

Equalizer did slightly better than I thought , glad it did it’s a good movie.

Jurassic world 2 is at $1.2 billion $471 million off its predecessor

Ant man 2 is $355 million $164 million off the original

Deadpool 2 is at $733 million $50 million off the original


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Re: Box office thread

Postby Kristatos » Tue Jul 24, 2018 4:53 am

Sounds like box office is down pretty much across the board.

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Box office thread

Postby Omega » Tue Jul 24, 2018 11:11 am

I think black panther and avengers infinity war are the big movies this year but they are not summer movies that the studios expected to be the big earners.

Solo was expected to dominate the month of May into June. It didn’t but nothing else took over either.
I never noticed the tie in crap for solo, a restaurant had a banner in front for a special meal with the solo name attached to it. There are cell phone cases and other crap nobody would of wanted anyway but months later after the movie has been pulled from the theaters it’s kind of obvious Disney over played their hand monetizing solo and last Jedi.

But then ready player one a popular book and Steven Spielberg movie couldn’t find an audience either $582 million it maybe broke even with a $175 million budget. It’s a good movie but I’m starting to think Hollywood marketing is under estimating how expensive it is to take a family to the movies



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Re: Box office thread

Postby Kristatos » Tue Jul 24, 2018 12:28 pm

Plus the market is oversaturated. There used to be 2 or 3 big tentpole movies released each summer. In recent years, it's been more like a dozen.

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Re: Box office thread

Postby bjmdds » Sat Jul 28, 2018 3:03 pm

It’s another box office weekend where the movie star actually pulls the audience in as Tom Cruise sixthquel Mission: Impossible – Fallout heads for a franchise opening record of $60M per early morning industry estimates at 4,386 theaters, which also doubles as Cruise’s second-best debut at the box office after War of the Worlds’ 3-day of $64.8M (which was part of a 6-day Independence day opening). Even more awesome, Fallout reps the first time that a Mission: Impossible has ever earned an A CinemaScore from moviegoers; the previous three installments receiving A-s. As mentioned earlier, Fallout is also the best reviewed M:I of all-time with a 98% certified fresh on Rotten Tomatoes. Should Fallout ease down to the high $50Ms, any weekend result over Mission: Impossible II‘s $57.8M reps a franchise opening record.
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Re: Box office thread

Postby Kristatos » Sat Jul 28, 2018 6:28 pm

I nearly chose Fallout for my birthday movie, but my sister and her kids were planning to come, so we ended up going to see Mamma Mia 2 instead, as it was the only PG movie that was showing at a suitable time (my first choice, The Incredibles 2, was only showing at 2.15 and 8pm). Then my nephew ended up in A&E due to pulling his fingernail out, so they didn't come anyway. He is nearly 12, so he's probably old enough, but my niece is only 8, and Mission: Impossible didn't sound suitable for her. I checked the BBFC website, which gives detailed descriptions of their classification decisions, and it said that it was rated 12A for bloody injury detail and the occasional f-bomb.
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Re: Box office thread

Postby Omega » Sat Jul 28, 2018 7:27 pm

Predictions

Mission: Impossible - Fallout (4,386 theaters) - $65+ M
Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (3,514 theaters) - $18.0 M
Teen Titans Go! To The Movies (3,188 theaters) - $17.0 M
The Equalizer 2 (3,388 theaters) - $16.5 M
Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation (4,005 theaters) - $13.1 M
Ant-Man and the Wasp (3,013 theaters) - $9.0 M
Incredibles 2 (2,616 theaters) - $7.7 M
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (2,685 theaters) - $6.7 M
Skyscraper (2,773 theaters) - $5.7 M
The First Purge (1,400 theaters) - $2.2 M


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